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The problem is not the virus itself but instead it’s impact on the availability of medical care. If you wish to talk about statistics the death rate associated
by austincheney 6y ago
The problem is not the virus itself but instead it’s impact on the availability of medical care.
If you wish to talk about statistics the death rate associated with the virus is declining in the US even though the numbers of infection are surging. That is because medical services are better learning what treatments are effective. The death rate will continue to decline inversely to the growth of infection rate only so long as medical treatment is available.
The real problems occur when medicine is over whelmed by the case volume, particularly when hospital beds fill up. When hospitals lack the space to provide appropriate care and triage is when the associated death rate shoots up from declining below 0.1% to over 10% (greater than 100x). Quality and availability of care impacts all medicine. For example appendicitis is an easily treatable and relatively common medical problem in the US, but without available care the patient will die of a blood infection. If that example is not properly triaged due to lost medical capacity then it shifts from a minor concern to a potentially fatal problem.
- TheBlight 6y ago>That is because medical services are better learning what treatments are effective. Not sure that's true. The average age of infected is much lower than it was a couple months ago. It's likely that more people who aren't at risk of serious complications are being infected now and we're testing much more than we had been -- including people w/o symptoms. A couple months ago most people who weren't considered at-risk couldn't get a test even if they had symptoms.
- therealdrag0 6y agoAnyone have a source for cases over time by age? I’ve heard it hypothesized but never supported. I agree it’s plausible but we need evidence before confidence.
- TheBlight 6y agohttps://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/07/why-covid-death-rate-down/613945/ https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/07/why-covid-... >In Florida, the median age of new COVID-19 cases fell from 65 in March to 35 in June.
- therealdrag0 6y agoPerfect thanks!