Despite the Independent article having been published yesterday, and them quoting Norpoth from just a few days ago, repeating his 91% prediction, his own site l

Despite the Independent article having been published yesterday, and them quoting Norpoth from just a few days ago, repeating his 91% prediction, his own site links to a PDF containing that exact 91% prediction based on March data, and last updated in May with a promotional blurb. This isn't even an up to date model on his own site.