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I'm banking on a political wind-shifting event where suddenly the vogue thing to do will be to allow all commerce to proceed like normal and social distancing w

• netsharc 6y ago
  It wouldn't be political, but medical: a vaccine. Even if everything got relaxed, with the virus still around, the paranoid will still avoid gatherings, etc, and the economy will not return to normal. Maybe a draconian takeover of the world by a government that then suppresses information and says "We solved the virus!" convincingly enough would be such an event. Meanwhile at least 1 "leader" is saying the above sentence, but he's only convincing a dwindling number of die-hard supporters. As Orwell said: > We are all capable of believing things which we know to be untrue, and then, when we are finally proved wrong, impudently twisting the facts so as to show that we were right. Intellectually, it is possible to carry on this process for an indefinite time: the only check on it is that sooner or later a false belief bumps up against solid reality, usually on a battlefield.
• gonzo41 6y ago
  I think you're right, that this will probably happen, but until there's a vaccine COVID will flare up again and again smashing multiple sectors.