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It would be better if the plots in that thread showing Arizona/Florida/Texas vs All Other States used the same y-axis scale. They don't and it is hard to tell
by hcrisp 6y ago
It would be better if the plots in that thread showing Arizona/Florida/Texas vs All Other States used the same y-axis scale. They don't and it is hard to tell if a "trend" in shape is of the same order or not. If you view the US states in log-log plot [0] you can see that Arizona (as well as all the other hot spot states) has a much lower doubling rate (for deaths) than New York did for an equivalent number of deaths. Something strange is going on, and it can't all be explained away with Simpson's paradox.
[0] https://aatishb.com/covidtrends/?data=deaths®ion=US https://aatishb.com/covidtrends/?data=deaths®ion=US