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Deaths are trending upwards, however, in Florida, Texas, Arizona, and all the other Southern hotspots. This is an example of Simpson's paradox. You're looking
by IfOnlyYouKnew 6y ago
Deaths are trending upwards, however, in Florida, Texas, Arizona, and all the other Southern hotspots.
This is an example of Simpson's paradox. You're looking at the sum of two different timelines, the virus in the Northeast (deaths declining) and the South (rising, but slow).
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simpson's_paradox#/media/File:Simpson's_paradox_continuous.svg https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simpson's_paradox#/media/File:...
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/arizona-coronavirus-cases.html#deaths https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/arizona-coronavi...
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/florida-coronavirus-cases.html#deaths https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/florida-coronavi...
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/texas-coronavirus-cases.html#deaths https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/texas-coronaviru...
- josephcsible 6y agoIsn't Simpson's Paradox when something is true of both parts but not of the whole? Wouldn't that make it not apply if the death rate is falling in the Northeast but not in the South?
- nostromo 6y agoCorrect, this isn't Simpson's Paradox.