3 ms·
flippant summary of bayesian stats: normalize the likelihood, multiply by a prior (which you can just set to whatevs). oh, and you are allowed to assign probab
by pz 18y ago
flippant summary of bayesian stats: normalize the likelihood, multiply by a prior (which you can just set to whatevs).
oh, and you are allowed to assign probabilities to non-repeatable events, i.e. what's the probability there is life on mars?
- alienasia 18y agothat's a brilliant synopsis.
- epe 18y agoyou are allowed to assign probabilities to non-repeatable events, i.e. what's the probability there is life on mars I get the impression that believers in the Bayesian Revolution often also subscribe to the many worlds quantum interpretation, which would make P(life on Mars) a repeatable event.
- jey 18y agoMany-worlds QM isn't a necessary assumption for subjective Bayesian probability, nor is "repeatability".