Reposted from a previous comment, as answering the same thought: The danger of SARS-CoV-2, given the relatively low mortality (and based on genetic modeling of

Reposted from a previous comment, as answering the same thought: The danger of SARS-CoV-2, given the relatively low mortality (and based on genetic modeling of potential mutations), was never that it was going to crest with Ebola-like proportions (you get it, you die), but that it was going to crest with a magnitude that would overwhelm available medical resources. Unfortunately, that crest is a binary proposition: either you have spare medical capacity (and serious Covid-19 patients receive high-quality care) or you have none (and serious Covid-19 patients receive no treatment). So the danger is not death rates now. The danger is (effective reproductive number) -> (expected case count) -> (serious, hospitalized cases of Covid-19) -> (exhausted medical capacity) -> (Italy-esque spike in deaths).