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No, he may be entirely agnostic on all three, neither believing nor disbelieving any of them. That seems like a pretty sensible attitude to have, actually.
by hugh 18y ago
No, he may be entirely agnostic on all three, neither believing nor disbelieving any of them.
That seems like a pretty sensible attitude to have, actually.
- gojomo 18y agoIn the FAQ, Bostrom says he personally assigns about 20% probability to the idea we are living in a simulation, and that he views (2), that the posthumans are unlikely to run ancestor simulations, a bit more likely than the others. Colloquially, it would be fair to say he 'believes' (2) -- as in the most likely of exclusive options, if he had to make one choice, if he had to bet, etc. And he definitely believes Union(2+3) more than (1).