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> To use a computer analogy, it's like going to extreme measures to refactor all programs so that Covid19Exception kills as few processes as possible, meanwhile
by graeme 6y ago
> To use a computer analogy, it's like going to extreme measures to refactor all programs so that Covid19Exception kills as few processes as possible, meanwhile processes left and right are dying at elevated rates due to HeartExceptions and BrainExceptions (and in a few months CancerExceptions) and the OOM Killer is on the prowl but nobody is noticing because they are hyperfocused on Covid19Exceptions.
What makes you think uncontrolled covid will have no negative effect on heart, brain and cancer? If hospitals turn into covid centers you can’t safely treat those high risk groups.
Further, there’s lots of possible long run effects in survivors we don’t know enough about yet. So there is an unbounded downside risk to covid infections.
Finally, we don’t know if immunity persists. We hope it does, but it might not, in which case letting it run through the populace will lead to more deaths when people catch it a second time.
Plenty of countries eliminated it by acting early. The US had that option and discarded it, and now is in a worse situation. Maybe the right approach given this worse position is to charge ahead, but you’re ignoring a lot of second order effects yourself.