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> He ignores the fact that no institution can make a realistic solvency determination during a crisis. What that means in practice is he supports things like TA
by partiallypro 6y ago
> He ignores the fact that no institution can make a realistic solvency determination during a crisis. What that means in practice is he supports things like TARP.
I don't think either of these sentences are true. Friedman wasn't for bailouts for those that did wrong, he simply knows that a deflationary spiral can occur if there is a cascading banking failure. Which is what happened in the Great Depression, and what was avoided in 2007/08. It should also be noted that TARP made the public money.
> Should be born by the public rather than the financial sector.
That is also not true. The issuer of money explicitly a tool of the government (even if the Fed itself is technically private.) The reason the Fed has to step in, is because the actual equation for money supply includes the velocity of money. If economic activity crashes, the money supply goes down. That is accelerated further due to complex financial instruments such as derivatives. The Fed shoring up balance sheets with low interest loans alleviates that during economic downturns. There is a side effect that some firms are able to use this opportunity to enrich themselves, but it is rarely at a great cost to the public, relatively speaking.
- rmrfstar 6y agoAbstract away all the money supply stuff. Banking systems have multiple equilibria [1]. That is one way of saying that financial crises are like floods. They are a fact of life, and happen from time to time. Who should pay for flood insurance, the public or the people building on flood plains? If the public pays for the flood insurance, there will be too much construction in the flood plain. The fact that TARP provided a small accounting profit to the Treasury is sort of immaterial. It was a free put that was never exercised. People should pay a premium for insurance. An efficient market prices risk... [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diamond%E2%80%93Dybvig_model https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diamond%E2%80%93Dybvig_model