This is the money question, or rephrased "will deaths spike by end of July?". There is so much debate, so much messy data, in a week or two this debate will be

This is the money question, or rephrased "will deaths spike by end of July?". There is so much debate, so much messy data, in a week or two this debate will be over among reasonable people, in a month even extremists will be eating crow. I, like everyone, have my opinion, but soon enough we'll know for sure. People saying "deaths aren't tracking infections" are premature in their assessment by a couple weeks IMO because earlier and more testing is making this peak be shaped differently than the last one. Sorry to hijack, your actual question is interesting too. I guess that would mean all the increased infection metrics are entirely from increases in testing and we're actually seeing that infection rates have always been way higher and the virus is way way less deadly than previously thought? Or maybe it has mutated and become less deadly?