2 ms·
> Apparently since about mid-April the CDC decided that the COVID Case Count would include not just positive tests, but also “probable” cases. This is easy to
by acqq 6y ago
> Apparently since about mid-April the CDC decided that the COVID Case Count would include not just positive tests, but also “probable” cases.
This is easy to compare with the past data:
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
Looking at the 7 day moving average:
April 20: around 30K cases per day;
May 20: around 24K cases per day;
June 12: around 22K cases per day;
July 2: 47K cases per day
Doesn't fit at all with the "mid-April" hypothesis. The number of cases stayed for quite a while below 30K, only to surge very recently.
Also see how the curves for different states differ, and note how it's completely different from the shape of the curves following the tests:
https://covidgraph.com/usa/#daily https://covidgraph.com/usa/#daily
Also: "Adm. Brett Giroir, the man Trump appointed to oversee testing, testified at a House hearing Thursday that "this is a real increase in cases" and not just attributable to increased testing. "There is no question that the more testing you get, the more you will uncover," Giroir said Thursday. "But we do believe this is a real increase in cases because of the percent positives are going up. So, this is real increases in cases." Giroir said the U.S. is not flattening the curve. "The curve is still going up," he testified."
https://abcnews.go.com/US/coronavirus-updates-arizona-bar-allowed-employees-covid-19/story?id=71587798 https://abcnews.go.com/US/coronavirus-updates-arizona-bar-al...
- skinnymuch 6y agoI don’t think parent is right, but the 7 day avg test numbers are largely explained by just the tri-State NYC numbers. NYC, NJ, CT dropped more than the case avg by the June stat.