3 ms·
If you look at the graphs side-by side for areas with clearly defined peaks (I looked at MA, NY, Italy, Spain, UK, Netherlands) the peak fatality rate is no mor
by emn13 6y ago
If you look at the graphs side-by side for areas with clearly defined peaks (I looked at MA, NY, Italy, Spain, UK, Netherlands) the peak fatality rate is no more than a week behind peak case numbers, and perhaps less. Testing rates in at least some of those areas were fairly constant around the peaks, so that doesn't seem a likely confounding factor.
I'm not sure what to make of the meaning of such a short gap, and of course people may now be testing earlier than they did in the early hot spots, so I'm not sure if this has any predictive value.
- heavyset_go 6y agoTesting in the beginning lagged significantly from the initial infection.
- rsynnott 6y agoOne caution about those numbers; many/most sites show cases based on the day that reporting was received and aggregated, _not_ on the day it was taken. This doesn't matter very much now, as turnaround on tests in most places is quick. But a couple of months ago delays of weeks were common.