3 ms·

Thanks for the info. Could you, or anyone else, please explain why quarantine takes 1.5 months to be fully effective?

• atemerev 6y ago
  Because there is an incubation period, where people already infected start to develop first symptoms. There is a development period (from the first symptoms to the point where they are severe enough for the person to seek medical help — only at this point the case is registered). The introduction of quarantine measures is not immediately effective — there is a transition period of at least few days. There are response / case registration delays. And finally, it takes some time for the new epidemic regime just to be visible on the curve (a perceptive delay until the trend is understandable).
  • telotortium 6y ago
    Do you have an estimate of the number of days for each of the delays you mentioned?