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> Without the vehicle, the population would be a fraction of what it is and you probably would have never been born. Personal automobile ownership is more than
by throwawaygh 6y ago
> Without the vehicle, the population would be a fraction of what it is and you probably would have never been born.
Personal automobile ownership is more than double what it was in 1960 (410.37/1K in 1960 vs. 831.9/1K in 2018). Needless to say, our birth rates are just a tad lower today than they were at the height of the baby boom...
And that's just in the USA. Look up rates of automobile ownership throughout the world. There are massive variations between countries with similar economies and similar brithrates.
And to head off the obvious explanation for the explosion of car ownership in the US being negatively correlated with population growth, notice that other developed economies also experienced a gender revolution and that this lack of strong correlation exists even if you measure car ownership at the level of households instead of at the level of individuals.
The hypothesis that cars => population growth just doesn't bear out in the data, even after correcting for a lot of possible confounds. The two are, at best, uncorrelated.
(Again, my post mentioned "the personal vehicle", not the ICE or carbonization of the economy more generally, which indeed enabled unparalleled growth)
> That's an insane analysis.
After looking at the data, I think you're completely wrong. But of course your hypothesis was not even close to "insane".
- chrisco255 6y agoClearly you couldn't even feed the planet without the transportation network necessary to distribute the food. Nor could you even grow it. Modern agriculture depends on fertilizer, which is made from mined materials. Farms are run with fossil fuel powered equipment. The quality of life and the length of life extended dramatically with the advent of the automobile and electricity (also fossil fuel powered). We wouldn't even be having this discussion right now. Not even to mention the serendipitous effects of expanding human horizons beyond what could be traveled by horse, which alone is a substantial achievement and led to more discoveries and human connection than I can even fathom. Without transport and communication there would be no modern era, no internet, no tech sector. Just an extension of the 19th century.
- throwawaygh 6y ago>> Again, my post mentioned "the personal vehicle", not the ICE or carbonization of the economy more generally, which indeed enabled unparalleled growth As for the rest? The west was settled by track layers.