3 ms·
Taleb actually predicted it, even though he doesn't like it being called a prediction. In his own words: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tb2pXXUSzmI https://www
by mike_ivanov 6y ago
Taleb actually predicted it, even though he doesn't like it being called a prediction. In his own words: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tb2pXXUSzmI https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tb2pXXUSzmI
- refurb 6y agoSo did Bill Gates, but predicting “a disease epidemic will hit us and have severe consequences” is a pretty sure bet and not that impressive.
- landryraccoon 6y agoIt sounds impressive considering that politicians argued (and still argue, like in the case of Brazil) that it's not severe and we are still overreacting in the middle of people dying.
- mike_ivanov 6y agoThat's exactly the point: if it IS easily predictable, it's NOT a black swan.