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Deaths are a lagging indicator. With case numbers shooting up unfortunately deaths almost certainly will soon too.
by cageface 6y ago
Deaths are a lagging indicator. With case numbers shooting up unfortunately deaths almost certainly will soon too.
- throwaway_pdp09 6y agoA question about the cases/stats in the US. Looking at the wiki for this https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_the_United_States#Timeline https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_the_Unite... and comparing the growth in cases vs growth in reported deaths, they don't match. I'd expect them to, offset by about 2 weeks (or some shortish period) as the patient recovers or dies. Instead the case rate grows by consistently over 1%, but the deaths grow by about 0.5% - both figures are very approximate bit you can see what I mean, one doesn't follow the other. Why might this be; am I making a basic stats mistake?
- cageface 6y agoThe explanation I’ve seen for this is that newer cases have been more concentrated in younger people that are less likely to die from it.