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Data shows the peak has passed. You can monitor ILI deaths (which includes covid) in the weekly flu report from the CDC: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/index.ht

Data shows the peak has passed. You can monitor ILI deaths (which includes covid) in the weekly flu report from the CDC: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/index.htm https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/index.htm . The peak of deaths was a few weeks ago, which you can view on the page linked, or in this image: https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weeklyarchives2019-2020/images/NCHS25_small.gif https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weeklyarchives2019-2020/image... Edit: Please consider not down-voting citations of data.

cageface 6y ago
Deaths are a lagging indicator. With case numbers shooting up unfortunately deaths almost certainly will soon too.
- throwaway_pdp09 6y ago
  A question about the cases/stats in the US. Looking at the wiki for this https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_the_United_States#Timeline https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_the_Unite... and comparing the growth in cases vs growth in reported deaths, they don't match. I'd expect them to, offset by about 2 weeks (or some shortish period) as the patient recovers or dies. Instead the case rate grows by consistently over 1%, but the deaths grow by about 0.5% - both figures are very approximate bit you can see what I mean, one doesn't follow the other. Why might this be; am I making a basic stats mistake?
  - cageface 6y ago
    The explanation I’ve seen for this is that newer cases have been more concentrated in younger people that are less likely to die from it.
darwinwhy 6y ago
You're not just citing data, you're also leaping to conclusions by claiming that "the" peak has passed. There may be another peak, and there's no guarantee it'll be gentler than the last.
function_seven 6y ago
> Data shows the peak has passed That data shows that a peak has passed. You don't know if it's the peak. Recent daily new cases are at record levels, so there may be a higher peak in the near future. We're going to find out soon just how "seasonal" this pandemic is.

cageface 6y ago

Deaths are a lagging indicator. With case numbers shooting up unfortunately deaths almost certainly will soon too.

throwaway_pdp09 6y ago
A question about the cases/stats in the US. Looking at the wiki for this https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_the_United_States#Timeline https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_the_Unite... and comparing the growth in cases vs growth in reported deaths, they don't match. I'd expect them to, offset by about 2 weeks (or some shortish period) as the patient recovers or dies. Instead the case rate grows by consistently over 1%, but the deaths grow by about 0.5% - both figures are very approximate bit you can see what I mean, one doesn't follow the other. Why might this be; am I making a basic stats mistake?
- cageface 6y ago
  The explanation I’ve seen for this is that newer cases have been more concentrated in younger people that are less likely to die from it.

darwinwhy 6y ago

You're not just citing data, you're also leaping to conclusions by claiming that "the" peak has passed. There may be another peak, and there's no guarantee it'll be gentler than the last.

function_seven 6y ago

> Data shows the peak has passed That data shows that a peak has passed. You don't know if it's the peak. Recent daily new cases are at record levels, so there may be a higher peak in the near future. We're going to find out soon just how "seasonal" this pandemic is.