3 ms·
Raw number says 0.026. isn't it 2.6% rather than 0.26% ?
by alacombe 6y ago
Raw number says 0.026. isn't it 2.6% rather than 0.26% ?
- mrfusion 6y agoGo to table 1 and look at best estimate overall. It’s .004 This is the CFR which is higher. If you consider their projection that 35% of all infected cases remain asymptomatic, the overall infection fatality rate (IFR) drops to just 0.26 %.
- ls612 6y agoIf their estimate this week of over 20mm true infections is accurate then the coronavirus has an IFR of 0.6% in the US. Comparatively the 2017-2018 flu season was fairly bad and saw 61k deaths from an estimated 45mm infections[1] for an IFR of about 0.15%. So this is about four times worse than a bad flu season, with significant skew towards far more risk for older people. [1] https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html?CDC_AA_refVal=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.cdc.gov%2Fflu%2Fabout%2Fdisease%2Fburden.htm https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html?CDC_AA_refVa...
- mrfusion 6y agoInteresting point. It makes we wonder if we used years lost (not sure what the correct term is) how it would compare to the flu. Since it scews elderly.