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Many NYTimes journalists have terrifying thoughts that covid fear porn will be harder to write in the coming weeks. Yesterday 285 people died of (or, to be more
by m0zg 6y ago
Many NYTimes journalists have terrifying thoughts that covid fear porn will be harder to write in the coming weeks. Yesterday 285 people died of (or, to be more precise, _with_) C19 nationwide, and deaths have been trending down since mid-April. Yet we're still treated daily to a "we're all gonna die for real now" rhetoric.
- bla3 6y agoIt's Sunday, for whatever reason deaths / day are down 50% on weekends. N new cases per day fairly consistently lead to >= 5% of N dying a bit over a week later, so with 40k new cases a day at the moment that's 2k death/day. That's over 10k / week. Even compared to the number of natural deaths (320M replaced over 80 years => 77k / week), that's a pretty sizable figure -- 13% higher mortality than normal.
- m0zg 6y agoLook at the trendline for deaths. It's the only one that really matters. It's been going down linearly since mid-April. It looks like the recent "increase" in cases is due to some states (e.g. Texas) counting serology tests as "Covid tests" in addition to rT-PCR. https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/ https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/