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Those are immune to the sampling rate bias, but they are lagging indicators. Based on the recent widespread failures to socially distance (e.g. George Floyd pro
by mikedilger 6y ago
Those are immune to the sampling rate bias, but they are lagging indicators. Based on the recent widespread failures to socially distance (e.g. George Floyd protests, campaign rallys, etc), I suspect those lagging charts will start trending upwards.
You can also correct for the sampling rate bias by looking at the number of cases per 100,000 tests (or similar). Does anyone have a link tracking that? EDIT: percentage positive tests: https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/individual-states https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/individual-states
- deleted 6y ago[deleted]
- danaliv 6y agoAreas with BLM actions have not seen an increase in rates of infection. https://www.popsci.com/story/health/black-lives-matter-protests-covid-19-transmission/ https://www.popsci.com/story/health/black-lives-matter-prote...
- AnimalMuppet 6y agoThat seems... very suspicious. I doubt that the virus cares what the reason for a large gathering is. I don't think the BLM actions were using proper social distancing. But what does that leave? People who went haven't bothered to get tested since? Everybody wore masks, and that's way more effective than we thought? The gatherings were outside, and the Vitamin D is saving everyone?
- derbOac 6y agoThere have been epi efforts to oversample people in the blm protests specifically to examine its impact on infection rates and find it didn't matter. They didn't have an explanation but suspected it had to do with the protests mostly being outdoors.
- amanaplanacanal 6y agoI suspect being outdoors makes a huge difference. If the protests were a hotspot for new infections the states that are doing contract tracing should show that. I haven’t seen any evidence of it.