I believe your list has many countries that will fare like Florida, having less industrialization and mobility the disease takes longer to ramp up. I have come

I believe your list has many countries that will fare like Florida, having less industrialization and mobility the disease takes longer to ramp up. I have come to believe that the rate of the spread of the disease is a primarily a reflection of how people live rather than what measure they take - if a dozen people live in a house with one bathroom how are they going to isolate? Germanic countries like Sweden where a more pronounced distancing was the norm even before the pandemic fare much better. Google "waiting for bus sweden" to see what I mean. The behavior of Swedes used to be a meme.