I can't help but think of this xkcd https://xkcd.com/795 https://xkcd.com/795 The title is conditional risk. The characters reason that since very few people d

I can't help but think of this xkcd https://xkcd.com/795 https://xkcd.com/795 The title is conditional risk. The characters reason that since very few people die of thunderstorms, they don't need to take any precautions. The point is of course, that the reason that so few people die of lightning is that people are sensible and avoid danger. And that if you are reckless then you will be at much higher risk than the average person. I'm not saying that this is necessarily the case here. But it's a hypothesis that I think needs refutation.