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At this point any "expert" should be able to show somewhat accurate predictions that they made in February, March, or April. Otherwise their opinion is just a b

At this point any "expert" should be able to show somewhat accurate predictions that they made in February, March, or April. Otherwise their opinion is just a best guess.

mywittyname 6y ago
Hospital administration has a pretty good idea on the capacity of their ICUs. And it shouldn't take an expert to look around an ICU with 4 empty beds and suspect they might be overwhelmed if more cases come in.
- redis_mlc 6y ago
  SF Bay Area has been flat for months, and everybody knows that. Yet we keep hearing about NYC, as if they represent the globe.
  - cylinder 6y ago
    what? NYC has been dropping significantly, with a positivity rate of under 2%. Texas is at 10%. Nobody's freaking out about NYC right now.
    - Fjolsvith 6y ago
      > Nobody's freaking out about NYC right now. You wouldn't know it looking at the media.
realtalk_sp 6y ago
Agreed. The final total number of deaths projected back in April [1] is about half of current deaths. It stands to reason that the problem is significantly worse than what our top epidemiologists expected and should be addressed accordingly. [1] https://www.npr.org/2020/04/09/830664814/fauci-says-u-s-coronavirus-deaths-may-be-more-like-60-000-antibody-tests-on-way https://www.npr.org/2020/04/09/830664814/fauci-says-u-s-coro...
pinkfoot 6y ago
What if people took their advice so that their accurate prediction never came to pass?