4 ms·
Isn't this the exactly case, though? It's not about how infectious it is, but how severe. Early reports said that 90% or more [1] people develop symptoms and t
by xlii 6y ago
Isn't this the exactly case, though?
It's not about how infectious it is, but how severe. Early reports said that 90% or more [1] people develop symptoms and that the average death rate is 3.5% (with some outlets even suggesting 10%...).
If we divide those estimates by 10 we're getting 9% of symptoms and 0.35% lethality. While I won't argue for 80 as being the number that's almost 2 degrees of magnitude. That would mean that 0.9% people have symptoms and 0.035% has severe case. This is on par of 2009 Flu pandemic and 3 times more than regular seasonal flu.
Now, I have no idea how reputable source is or how trustworthy this exact article is but that's one of the perspectives that were present since almost the beginning of pandemics.
Note: Since I don't really gather articles those might be low quality republishes
[1]: https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/covid-19-symptoms-typically-appear-5-days-after-infection/ar-BB11311P https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/covid-19-symptoms-t...
[2]: https://www.theblaze.com/news/german-study-shows-coronavirus-mortality-rate-five-times-lower-than-widely-reported-numbers https://www.theblaze.com/news/german-study-shows-coronavirus...
- deathgrips 6y agoThere wasn't a consensus back in February that covid19 was the black plague. Even though we didn't have the data to justify shutdowns, governments everywhere shutdown businesses because politicians won't personally feel the pain of job loss.
- crooked-v 6y ago> Even though we didn't have the data to justify shutdowns 0.2% of the entire population of New York City died over the course of a few months, even with a full lockdown in place.
- DuskStar 6y agoWhich is either evidence in favor of lockdowns or evidence that the lockdown was useless - one of the two.
- int_19h 6y agoWe had data to justify shutdowns on the basis of a possible (i.e. consistent with the data that we had) worst case scenario. Doing nothing while waiting for more data to narrow down is itself a risky choice.