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The number of cases has nothing to do with the amount of testing! The number of reported or confirmed cases is correlated with testing. That's a significantly
by kaitai 6y ago
The number of cases has nothing to do with the amount of testing!
The number of reported or confirmed cases is correlated with testing.
That's a significantly different statement, and also tautological and essentially vacuous.
Average time to death after confirmation of disease is around 13 days, so the death rate today has essentially nothing to do with the number of cases confirmed today. The death rate today has a lot to do with the number of cases confirmed a few weeks ago.
One of the reasons the US is doing so incredibly poorly is the incredible sloppiness of the analyses in so much of the media. I don't know if it's willful -- an attempt to pretend that nature will bend to political delusion -- or if it's simple innumeracy.