6 ms·
Yes, exactly plotting Lombardy and New York show very similar trends. To be fair, in my opinion neither region "defeated" the virus - they just ran out of peop
by glofish 6y ago
Yes, exactly plotting Lombardy and New York show very similar trends.
To be fair, in my opinion neither region "defeated" the virus - they just ran out of people that could be easily infected.
The seropositivity in NYC is probably pushing 30-40 percent now.
- salmon30salmon 6y agoHa! I just added the "Italy didn't defeat it" caveat. Great minds or something :)
- kgwgk 6y agoSo 70% that could be infected rather than 100% is "running out of people"?
- salmon30salmon 6y agoNo infection, in the history of infections has EVER infected 100% of people. So already I can ignore you as an alarmist. But I won't. I will say that being susceptible is not evenly distributed across a population. This is why prisons, meat packing and old people homes are more likely to have outbreaks. The corollary to that is that R0 is not consistent in a population. The R0 for people who live in old folks home is far higher than a bachelor who works from home. So when the person said that they ran out of easy people to infect, that is absolutely true.
- kgwgk 6y agoSo there will be no more cases in NYC going forward? Good for them!
- salmon30salmon 6y agoNope, that has never been and never will be a goal. Hell, there are still cases of Bubonic plague that occur. The goal should be to minimize spread among the most vulnerable.