3 ms·

From your own link: "Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) = Deaths / Cases = 23,430 / 1,694,781 = 1.4% (1.4% of people infected with SARS-CoV-2 have a fatal outcome,

From your own link: "Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) = Deaths / Cases = 23,430 / 1,694,781 = 1.4% (1.4% of people infected with SARS-CoV-2 have a fatal outcome, while 98.6% recover)" So 1.4%, about 4.67 times higher than what you say. That said I may have misunderstood so corrections welcome.

toomuchtodo 6y ago
Not a domain expert, perhaps I misinterpreted the rate posted (CMR vs IFR). I’m still comfortable with those odds you commented with (1.4%). If I was twice my age or had underlying health issues, I might be more concerned, but this falls within my personal risk tolerance. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/22/well/live/putting-the-risk-of-covid-19-in-perspective.html https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/22/well/live/putting-the-ris... (New York Times: Putting the Risk of Covid-19 in Perspective)
- throwaway_pdp09 6y ago
  You're assuming rather a lot. I don't want to be alarming etc. but you're being a touch complacent. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-52506669 https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-52506669 She said: "We are seeing that patients are suffering from moderate to severe acute kidney injury in about 20-30% of patients and 30% of patients who are admitted to intensive care for Covid infection are requiring dialysis so the numbers are much bigger than we envisaged based on the data coming out of China." (published May 2nd) It's not die-or-recover-completely.
  - toomuchtodo 6y ago
    I’m being pragmatic with a touch of nihilism, although I can see how that would appear to be complacent or caviler to an observer. I’m unwilling to live in my home as if it’s a moon base until a vaccine is developed, which could be 6-18 months from now, but as I mention elsewhere in this thread I wear a mask whenever I’m in public (to prevent impacting others if I happen to be a carrier but am asymptomatic). If you’re concerned for my health, appreciate it, but we’re all dead eventually.
    - deleted 6y ago
      [deleted]
- deleted 6y ago
  [deleted]

toomuchtodo 6y ago

Not a domain expert, perhaps I misinterpreted the rate posted (CMR vs IFR). I’m still comfortable with those odds you commented with (1.4%). If I was twice my age or had underlying health issues, I might be more concerned, but this falls within my personal risk tolerance. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/22/well/live/putting-the-risk-of-covid-19-in-perspective.html https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/22/well/live/putting-the-ris... (New York Times: Putting the Risk of Covid-19 in Perspective)

throwaway_pdp09 6y ago
You're assuming rather a lot. I don't want to be alarming etc. but you're being a touch complacent. https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-52506669 https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-52506669 She said: "We are seeing that patients are suffering from moderate to severe acute kidney injury in about 20-30% of patients and 30% of patients who are admitted to intensive care for Covid infection are requiring dialysis so the numbers are much bigger than we envisaged based on the data coming out of China." (published May 2nd) It's not die-or-recover-completely.
- toomuchtodo 6y ago
  I’m being pragmatic with a touch of nihilism, although I can see how that would appear to be complacent or caviler to an observer. I’m unwilling to live in my home as if it’s a moon base until a vaccine is developed, which could be 6-18 months from now, but as I mention elsewhere in this thread I wear a mask whenever I’m in public (to prevent impacting others if I happen to be a carrier but am asymptomatic). If you’re concerned for my health, appreciate it, but we’re all dead eventually.
  - deleted 6y ago
    [deleted]
deleted 6y ago
[deleted]