2 ms·
The data I saw for the Northern Provinces (Lombardy?) showed that they had 3x the normal mortality. 1x of that is the baseline that includes workplace accidents
by haltingproblem 6y ago
The data I saw for the Northern Provinces (Lombardy?) showed that they had 3x the normal mortality. 1x of that is the baseline that includes workplace accidents, sports, auto accidents many of which are not happening now. The rest 2x can be reasonably attributed to Covid. But only half of the 2x (1x) was being attributed to Covid. There was similar data from rest of Europe. I believe the FT had a very good piece on it [?].
I am not factoring in reduced life expectancy of the Covid recovery cohort. Someone who recovers from Covid after a few weeks/months on a ventilator will have residual effects which will lower expectancy for that cohort. They are now finding long term lung damage among Covid recoveries.
Please, please wear a mask especially in indoor spaces and take precautions till we have a vaccine.