3 ms·
his point is that the problem is not that you can never add millimorts together, but rather people try to add them together when the two things being added are
by keeganpoppen 6y ago
his point is that the problem is not that you can never add millimorts together, but rather people try to add them together when the two things being added are correlated. i can add the millimorts of playing russian roulette once w/ the millimorts of playing 5 more rounds with the same gun just fine.
- spenczar5 6y agoI think you have it backwards. The addition fails hardest when things are independent - which is true of most millimort risks in these tables. Smoking a cigarette and riding a motorcycle are totally uncorrelated in terms of how they cause death, so adding their millimorts naively won’t work at all.