It seems you forgot the point that the probability of comet falling is increased by people wearing bike helmet. You might want to listen the "science vs" episo

It seems you forgot the point that the probability of comet falling is increased by people wearing bike helmet. You might want to listen the "science vs" episode dedicated to guns for some actual science behind it and the role of guns in violent crime: https://gimletmedia.com/shows/science-vs/z3hlvr https://gimletmedia.com/shows/science-vs/z3hlvr