> Maybe the R0 curve just flattens more quickly than we thought? I think that's a confusion of R0 with Rt, Rt is what is influencing what we observe and simply

> Maybe the R0 curve just flattens more quickly than we thought? I think that's a confusion of R0 with Rt, Rt is what is influencing what we observe and simply not a constant, and additionally not the same in different settings or states: https://rt.live/ https://rt.live/ More importantly, for the Rt == 1 (and being constant) the number of cases would be constantly growing linearly. Only for Rt > 1 the growth is exponential. As long as the Rt is around 1 it is not surprising that we don't see long lasting exponential growth. But also note that the values calculated there are more an "illustration" of how the past partial data can be fit to some model than a certainty of the present. The model is helpful to allow us to have a possibility to talk about some concept (Rt and the differences in growth), but is not the current truth, especially for the situation where the data isn't complete and there is a delay in obtaining the updates versus what is actually happening at the moment at every place during the ongoing pandemics. Those who aren't in statistics now can be already infected and die in some weeks, or infect others, and we are never sure how much of those there are at the moment, given the constant changes of the behavior and the movements of the people.