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Readers might be interested in Nicholas Nassim Taleb's paper "Why We Have Never Used the Black-Scholes-Merton Option Pricing Formula" available at http://pape
by giardini 18y ago
Readers might be interested in Nicholas Nassim Taleb's paper
"Why We Have Never Used the Black-Scholes-Merton Option Pricing Formula" available at
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1012075 http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1012075
from the abstract:
"we have historical evidence that
1) Black, Scholes and Merton did not invent any formula, just found an argument to make a well known (and used) formula compatible with the economics establishment, by removing the "risk" parameter through "dynamic hedging",
2) Option traders use (and evidently have used since 1902) heuristics and tricks more compatible with the previous versions of the formula of Louis Bachelier and Edward O. Thorp (that allow a broad choice of probability distributions) and removed the risk parameter by using put-call parity.
3) Option traders did not use formulas after 1973 but continued their bottom-up heuristics.
The Bachelier-Thorp approach is more robust (among other things) to the high impact rare event. The paper draws on historical trading methods and 19th and early 20th century references ignored by the finance literature. It is time to stop calling the formula by the wrong name."
An excellent summation of Taleb's critique is "Whither Black-Scholes?""
http://www.forbes.com/2008/04/07/black-scholes-options-oped-cx_ptp_0408black.html http://www.forbes.com/2008/04/07/black-scholes-options-oped-...
- j2d2 18y agoReaders would also enjoy the story of LTCM. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long-Term_Capital_Management http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Long-Term_Capital_Management
- chollida1 18y agoThough they worked in bond arbitrage and didn't use Black Scholes:)
- steveplace 18y agoThey used options on bonds. High leverage + quant statistical method + six sigma event = fun.
- j2d2 18y agoMyron Scholes worked for them...