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There's an entire book about forecasting which may also be relevant (not just to time estimates) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superforecasting:_The_Art_and_Sc
by kipply 6y ago
There's an entire book about forecasting which may also be relevant (not just to time estimates)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superforecasting:_The_Art_and_Science_of_Prediction https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superforecasting:_The_Art_and_...
- qznc 6y agoI would love to have a prediction market for the plans at work. I fear management would mostly not appreciate such honest assessments though and nobody is prepared to think in probabilities.