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Yes, I think in the modern world with these methods and massive data sets being used in law enforcement, medical sector etc, the people working there should und
by Gravityloss 6y ago
Yes, I think in the modern world with these methods and massive data sets being used in law enforcement, medical sector etc, the people working there should undergo a lot of training about how basic Bayesian inference works etc. We are otherwise in a world of hurt. Healthy people being told they have some really serious rare diseases, maybe even starting treatment, innocent people being prosecuted or killed during raids etc.
- d6e 6y agoYeah... training almost assuredly won't happen sadly. Especially for cops.
- avs733 6y agoI teach this stuff (biomedical engineering statistics) to undergrads. The hardest thing for them with probability is false positives. conceptually it does not seem to align well with how the human brain works. I've had students literally get so frustrated the cry because they know what the math says but can't accept that you can test positive for a disease and not have it. They know they are wrong but it's just this weird sticky misconception.