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The assumption that job titles reflect critical features of the job, or aspects of automation impacting the workforce, is...laughably easily falsifiable. What
by jonahbenton 6y ago
The assumption that job titles reflect critical features of the job, or aspects of automation impacting the workforce, is...laughably easily falsifiable.
What about the replacement of W-2 with 1099 task-oriented roles? Where does that show up in the job title data set?
The 2M Uber drivers, just in the US?
The tens of millions of jobs offshored that no longer show up in US surveys?
That requirements for the job of a CEO now generally include technology...?
A piece contemporaneously on the HN front page? The "job" this person could have had 10 years ago still exists under the same title, but they are no longer qualified for it.
https://forklog.media/after-10-years-in-tech-isolation-im-now-outsider-to-things-i-once-had-mastered/ https://forklog.media/after-10-years-in-tech-isolation-im-no...
With all respect to Robin Hanson, his distilled claim is, to use his term, "bullshit."
It would be good for him to be subjected to automation of his job, then he might develop an understanding of the dimensions of the situation beyond the limits of the data he's myopically studying.
- jonahbenton 6y agoHaving read the paper, it is based on expert classifications and summaries of job titles...it is like a game of telephone, where real world -> noisy data collection -> noisy data classification -> noisy expert analysis -> specific study -> paper leads to something where the paper is just too disconnected from the real world.