i think it's really tricky because we aren't really smart when it comes to dealing with the future and/or counterfactuals. risk averse investors (?) may want a

i think it's really tricky because we aren't really smart when it comes to dealing with the future and/or counterfactuals. risk averse investors (?) may want a lot to go towards prevention of catastrophic but perhaps lower probability things (e.g. pandemic, asteroid impact within 1000 years), others may want towards high probability things (climate change related), yet others may want to just solve nuclear fusion so that all of the above become way easier, etc. imagine if $5T concentrated solely in energy research got us some breakthrough leading to cheap/infinite energy, for example. prediction market? i'm not really sure.