I definitely understood the parent comment differently than you did. My read of it is that they are criticizing those predicting low probability events, and th

I definitely understood the parent comment differently than you did. My read of it is that they are criticizing those predicting low probability events, and then cherrypicking the predictions that turned out correct as misunderstood predictive geniuses. A similar event in tech is the analysis of a potential AI singularity event, which comes up plenty often. We'll only be able to tell who is right in retrospect, and plenty of folks call each other quacks over that.