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Researchers say surge in cars at Wuhan hospitals may indicate outbreak in fall
- scarmig 6y agoVery interesting. Our view of the dynamics of the disease would be upended if, in fact, Wuhan hospitals were having to deal with three figures of coronavirus patients in October or even earlier. If that's the case, it had probably established itself in most of the world's major cities by December; if that's so, why did we have to wait until March to start seeing the mass outbreaks? I'd be curious to see if there were surges in cars at other major Chinese cities, and how delayed they were compared to Wuhan.
- everybodyknows 6y ago>It is scheduled to be posted Monday morning on “Dash,” Harvard’s preprint server for medical papers. >On Monday morning the website for "Dash" suffered a temporary outage. A link is provided, draws a blank page for me: https://dash.harvard.edu/handle/1/42669767 https://dash.harvard.edu/handle/1/42669767
- OldHand2018 6y agoThe United States has an "Influenza-Like-Illness" surveillance system in place. In my area, if you look at the data [0], the 2019-2020 season was already above average by week 42 or 43 (October 2019). By December 2019, it had significantly spiked, but was similar to the 2017-2018 season. It wasn't until late January or early February 2020 that it had outpaced 2017-2018 and by then the world already knew it was Covid-19. We are looking at historical information with knowledge that wasn't available at that time. You have to be generous in interpreting what you see because of this. This analysis of Wuhan hospitals needs to be more than 2018 vs 2019. What about 2017, 2016, etc? [0] http://www.dph.illinois.gov/topics-services/diseases-and-conditions/influenza/influenza-surveillance http://www.dph.illinois.gov/topics-services/diseases-and-con...