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He has a good point. Violence does go in cycles. People are happy to start a war when they haven't experienced the consequences it brings but they change their
by WheelsAtLarge 6y ago
He has a good point. Violence does go in cycles. People are happy to start a war when they haven't experienced the consequences it brings but they change their views once they experience the destruction and horrors.
The fact that he was able to pin 2020 is probably luck.
- masswerk 6y agoFor a non-US example, compare the aftermath of the Franco-Prussian war of 1871/72 and the build-up towards WW I (not exactly 50 years, but also a matter of generational succession.) However, history also provides some examples, where this "logic" seems to be condensed, e.g., the rise of the Nazis in Germany, where a grand parents' generation sided with the young, often against the middle generation that was much more definied by the war experience – which resulted in the "hickup" of WW II.
- mywittyname 6y agoWell, and it's not like predicted violence would last for a year, then disappear. It's an ongoing and escalating situation.
- EmilioMartinez 6y agoHe didn't "pin" it though. He said it was going to be a peak of a 10 year period. Being that 2020 is a round number, I wonder how many other (more unsofisticated) doomsayers simply guessed.
- sieabahlpark 6y agoI think it's more to do with an election year than anything. BLM was pretty big in 2016 too