3 ms·
70% of infected with Covid don't pass it; superspreading events account for most
- legerdemain 6y agoI've seen this claim reported in several publications now, and I still feel like it's a restatement, or maybe a validation, of an obvious conclusion under a new, fancy name. If most of us drastically curtail our activity outside the home, we have few opportunities to propagate the infection. People who are in touch with very few others only have a few others who they could potentially infect. The few of us that do engage in social activity outside the home ipso facto have the chance to become "super-spreaders," by the simple virtue of the fact that we have more opportunities to infect others. People who have more opportunities to infect others... infect more others. Ta-da! So the conclusion isn't that public health researchers have identified some subset of dangerous group activities we should avoid if we want to stay safe. The conclusion remains that virtually any group activity offers you an arena to spread the infection to many others, and people who engage in group activity are the ones who have the most opportunity to propagate the infection. Instead of the much more exciting claim that we could potentially find all the Typhoid Marys and isolate them, the claim is that any and all of us could become the next Typhoid Mary.