3 ms·

1%?! CDC current estimate is around 0.2% and that's certainly still too high, for various reasons.

• xorfish 6y ago
  Seems highly unlikely, excess mortality is nearly 0.3% of NYC. You would need 150% of NYC to be infected to get to 0.2%. Many seroprevalence studies with prevalence >5% also show that the IFR is in the region of 1%.
  • thu2111 6y ago
    https://reason.com/2020/05/24/the-cdcs-new-best-estimate-implies-a-covid-19-infection-fatality-rate-below-0-3/ https://reason.com/2020/05/24/the-cdcs-new-best-estimate-imp... "The CDC's New 'Best Estimate' Implies a COVID-19 Infection Fatality Rate Below 0.3%"
    • xorfish 6y ago
      What is the basis for this best estimate?
      • thu2111 6y ago
        It states that in the article.