3 ms·
You're assuming current understandings of herd immunity and epidemiology are correct, which by empirical observation they aren't. The epidemic is already over
by thu2111 6y ago
You're assuming current understandings of herd immunity and epidemiology are correct, which by empirical observation they aren't.
The epidemic is already over in Sweden:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Sweden#Deaths https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/COVID-19_pandemic_in_Sweden#De...
(more up to date graph: https://lockdownsceptics.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/IMG_2421.jpg https://lockdownsceptics.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/06/IMG_...)
Yet a much lower level of infected population than conventionally understood has been reached. The models that assume the virus will continue to grow until 60%-70% have been infected are therefore wrong, reality itself is proving that.
There are now a whole lot of theories being explored as to why this is.
[edit: someone complained about the original graph link not matching worldometers. It's worldometers that's wrong so I replaced it with a Wikipedia link, which sources its data direct from Swedish health authorities. I left the lockdownsceptics link because it's a bit fresher]
- legulere 6y agoI don’t know where “lockdown sceptics” got their data from but for me the current numbers look like a constant infection rate and only slightly reduced death rate that is also not falling: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/sweden/ https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/sweden/