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What has become clear is levels of testing and how deaths are recorded vary greatly. So somebody in the UK who tested or even suspected of COVID-19 dieing from
by Zenst 6y ago
What has become clear is levels of testing and how deaths are recorded vary greatly. So somebody in the UK who tested or even suspected of COVID-19 dieing from a heart attack - that is recorded as covid-19 death, in somewhere like Germany - that would be recorded as a heart attack, even if it is clear that the illness caused the issue.
But one thing that has struck me as worrying, is the faily recorded cases - looking at WHO data, always a spike on a friday! Why is that, backlog, testing pattern or rush to get to the weekend - dunno, but a very clear trend until recently and now seeing spike more common than that 7 day trend. IMHO, all the signs of a second wave and a\ll the actions to enable it. Governments be damned if they don't ease lockdown and damned if people still die.
But I do wished there was some better universal defined way deaths are recorded as currently it is a fallacy to compare countries due to the nuances of how deaths are recorded.
One thing I do know and been a concern of mine for months, once things ease - how many poor postman and postwoman are going to be asked to record buildup of mail at address - a solid indication that somebody died inside. Those deaths are the ones which we are still to realise and they are out there awaiting to be found.
https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.h... You can view the stats for daily cases there bottom right, expand that and hit the daily cases tab - you can see the week trend most prominent and also the changes to that recently that are not a good sign IMHO.
- sjg007 6y agoFriday is probably a reporting deadline. You see similar spikes on Mondays after the weekend. You would want to take a weekly average basically.. or some do a 3 day rolling average.
- netsharc 6y agoLooks like a reliable signal is to count how many deaths above average happened for a particular month, for example here in St. Petersburg, Russia: https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/04/st-petersburg-death-tally-casts-doubt-on-russian-coronavirus-figures https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jun/04/st-petersburg-...