3 ms·
> Those scientists in Denmark, Germany, Switzerland, Finland, Norway, France, Spain, Italy are as good as Tegnell is. I can't speak well of the Italian expert
by lbeltrame 6y ago
> Those scientists in Denmark, Germany, Switzerland, Finland, Norway, France, Spain, Italy are as good as Tegnell is.
I can't speak well of the Italian expert panel. On the day of the "reopening" (not a reopening, but I digress), May 4th, they quoted a non-public report saying that the worst case scenario (out of 92) would bring 150,000 Italians needing ICU care by June 4th. AFAICR, no other scenarios were made known.
The report was then leaked (or made known somehow). It had no author information, and contained a lot of old and inaccurate models, and totally arbitrary and unjustified statements. In short, it was utterly wrong.
A critique of the report (in Italian):
https://www.scienzainrete.it/articolo/fase-2-e-alcune-questioni-sul-report-governativo/maria-luisa-bianco/2020-05-14 https://www.scienzainrete.it/articolo/fase-2-e-alcune-questi...
(second half, the first part is about some questionable policy decisions from a legal standpoint)
Some Italian experts also say that physical distancing and masks are useless (supporting an indefinite lockdown). The government itself said that masks were not effective until very recently.
There is also a lot of confusion (for the lay person) because many contradictory statements are often said.