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We went from discovering fission in 1938 to building the bomb in 1945. I think it's entirely possible that AGI won't happen in the next century or maybe even ev
by sacred_numbers 6y ago
We went from discovering fission in 1938 to building the bomb in 1945. I think it's entirely possible that AGI won't happen in the next century or maybe even ever, but history is filled with people who say "this can't happen" and are proven horribly wrong.
- m0zg 6y agoYes, but then we did not invent much else in this area since then. Computing is fundamentally the same today as it was in the 60's. Sure, transistors are smaller, there's more memory, and clock is in gigaherts, but it's the same paradigm. And this paradigm is not going to take us to AGI even if Moore's law weren't dead for the last decade. Which it is.
- jinpan 6y agoHave you heard of this thing called quantum computing?
- shahbaby 6y agoWill never replace general computers. It's more of a hardware to run specific types of algorithms.
- m0zg 6y agoThe thing that nobody can tell if it works or not? What about it?
- catalogia 6y agoAre quantum computers even relevant to AGI? I'm under the impression that the belief that human brains are quantum computers is considered fringe in both computer science and particularly neuroscience, despite having a handful of high profile proponents (notably Penrose.)
- umvi 6y ago> but history is filled with people who say "this can't happen" and are proven horribly wrong. And history is also filled with people who said "this can't happen" and died without ever getting the chance to say "I told you so" 2000 years later when [thing] still hasn't happened