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Seems to me that we won't really know if the Swedish approach was a disaster or not until economies are reopened, second waves happen or don't, etc. The game is
by rfrey 6y ago
Seems to me that we won't really know if the Swedish approach was a disaster or not until economies are reopened, second waves happen or don't, etc. The game isn't over.
- alkonaut 6y agoIndeed. The strategy if it works perfectly was never going to have fewer deaths than a lockdown strategy after 3 months. That much should be obvious. The criticism early on was "Oh my god look at these simulations you'll have 25k ICU beds needed and you have only 1k", 50k will die before july! When that didn't happen, somehow now the message is that 4k dead and emergency hospital capacity never even used is a complete failure - because Norway has fewer deaths? I think if anything we should be happy that most of Europe managed to actually contain this disease and people weren't left to die without ventilators as the early alarms said. Whether 500 or 5000 die in a country is a big difference, but remember we were fearing tens of thousands in every countruy.
- oska 6y agoEconomies are already re-opening to each other and Sweden is being excluded. So no, Sweden has already failed.