3 ms·
> "Wouldn't this mean that the odds of dying from COVID are much higher than dying from a car accident?" we don't know yet due to the newness of covid, meaning
by clairity 6y ago
> "Wouldn't this mean that the odds of dying from COVID are much higher than dying from a car accident?"
we don't know yet due to the newness of covid, meaning it's steady-state death rate is uncertain, but it seems very unlikely to overtake car accidents.
based on what we do know about covid now, its trajectory, and comparing to relatives, covid will probably only kill you the first time (and mostly if you're late in life) or not at all, so lifetime odds might end up between 1 in 10,000 and 1 in 5000.
lifetime odds of dying in a car accident is relatively known, at 1 in 100, so probably 50-100X more deadly than covid.