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This should be far better than Dark Sky. AFAIK Dark Sky was far more of a simpler statistics play than real meteorology and data processing. I was surprised App
by cryptoz 6y ago
This should be far better than Dark Sky. AFAIK Dark Sky was far more of a simpler statistics play than real meteorology and data processing. I was surprised Apple bought them, because I don't honestly believe they had any real groundbreaking tech, more slimy marketing than anything.
But ClimaCell is serious about new data being used, real forecast analysis, and verification, etc.
The future of weather APIs and services is much brighter IMO, now that Dark Sky is out of the picture.
- huhtenberg 6y agoSource required on your Dark Sky claims.
- starpilot 6y agoDS has an old article saying how they use statistical/ML approach rather than physical modeling. That doesn't make it illegitimate though, using ML in weather modeling is active and fruitful research: https://ai.googleblog.com/2020/01/using-machine-learning-to-nowcast.html https://ai.googleblog.com/2020/01/using-machine-learning-to-...
- cryptoz 6y agoI use ML in weather research too. That's not the problem. The problem is Dark Sky used more simple radar prediction methods, like taking existing rainfall, using wind speed and 'nowcasting' the rain into the future. There are severe limits to this technology. It cannot detect the initiation of new precipitation. They never publicly explained what they were doing with their barometer data, which they claimed to collect for forecasting. But in such an active area of basic science research, they did not contribute data or algorithms or papers or any discussion at all. I believe it is because they did not overcome the challenges of using the noisy phone data to produce useful weather forecasts. But they lead people to believe they do. I am suspicious. Dark Sky didn't use ML AFAIK when they started, it was straight statistics. Maybe they did change to add ML, I don't know, but for my knowledge of the space, they always used core math and statistics while ignoring physical science and not participating in the research community, or any community really. I would love to know more about how Dark Sky worked. My gut feeling is that it is largely a scam, because they never published any of their own reanalysis data, or verification data for 1-minute forecast accuracy, etc. They were so closed-off in an industry that is traditionally hugely open, and they made large claims without backing any of it up publicly.
- coopsmgoops 6y agoWhat's the scam? They provided reasonable forecasts, what more do you want for a weather app.
- cryptoz 6y agoAha, I want a lot from weather apps. I am a weather app developer, for what that's worth. I expect a lot because the current state of weather data communication and accuracy is a disaster. There is a lot of work to do to improve forecasts, and when a company steps up to say they will do it, I expect a lot out of them. I also take major issue with the claim that they provided reasonable forecasts. I think their forecast accuracy was extremely low in many cases and fares very poorly when put against competitors: https://theoutline.com/post/3826/crap-weather-apps-meteorolgists?zd=1&zi=i2ilwk63 https://theoutline.com/post/3826/crap-weather-apps-meteorolg... Edit: "The scam" is that they exaggerated accuracy claims without backing it up.
- GekkePrutser 6y agoCorrect, at least here in Europe Dark Sky was super low-res in terms of its weather maps and predictions. As a result it was way off the mark. Especially the rain map here in Spain. I think it was really focused on the US. At the moment I use openweathermap but interested in better ones.
- yencabulator 6y agoIn southwest USA, if Dark Sky said "rain in 23 minutes", it was rarely off by more than a minute. That was really nice, in the "oh shit I should give the dog a pee break before the rain" sense.
- __mp 6y agoCheck out https://www.meteomatics.com https://www.meteomatics.com Available models can be found here: https://www.meteomatics.com/en/api/request/#model_selection https://www.meteomatics.com/en/api/request/#model_selection
- yencabulator 6y agoNo pricing is an immediate turn-off. Best they seem to have is another "Contact Us (and tell us how thick your wallet is)" button: https://www.meteomatics.com/en/eshop/ https://www.meteomatics.com/en/eshop/