3 ms·

People without kids aren't gonna move to the suburbs because of viruses/riots. Subrbian life is optimized for families.

uxp100 6y ago
Eh, friends in apartment buildings are looking to never live in one again it feels like. IDK how long that will stick. But yeah, they'd be looking to stay in the city, just somewhere with it's own door lol. But unless jobs start moving out too (or widespread remote work becomes both real and pleasant) I can't imagine a large urban exodus.
garethsprice 6y ago
Anecdotal but as half of a DINK couple who recently relocated to an exurban vacation property, our main reasons for being in an expensive city (office, culture, social gathering) have evaporated and I'd be surprised if they came back the way they were for years. Speaking as someone whose main desire in life was to live in a big city, the suburbs are looking pretty nice right about now (as, again anecdotally, they are for a good number of our friends in similar positions).
- fragmede 6y ago
  > I'd be surprised if they came back the way they were for years. Depends on what you're looking for. The police managed to find and shut down an underground club mid-April[0]. I'll bet the police didn't find the only one. I'd be very surprised if it takes more than a year. Thinking back to the airline industry post 9/11, the airlines were strongly motivated to reopen the skies. The situation's different, but as we learn more about COVID-19, we get a better and better picture on what is necessary for it to be safe to reopen. The Hubei restaurant airflow study[1] says it's possible to be in the same room as an infected person and not get sick. We shouldn't rush to reopen, but we can be more proactive than just "hope it goes away", by, eg expanding testing. [0] https://www.sfchronicle.com/crime/article/Police-shut-down-SF-nightclub-operating-during-15195943.php https://www.sfchronicle.com/crime/article/Police-shut-down-S... [1] https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/20/health/airflow-coronavirus-restaurants.html https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/20/health/airflow-coronaviru...

Eh, friends in apartment buildings are looking to never live in one again it feels like. IDK how long that will stick. But yeah, they'd be looking to stay in the city, just somewhere with it's own door lol. But unless jobs start moving out too (or widespread remote work becomes both real and pleasant) I can't imagine a large urban exodus.

garethsprice 6y ago

Anecdotal but as half of a DINK couple who recently relocated to an exurban vacation property, our main reasons for being in an expensive city (office, culture, social gathering) have evaporated and I'd be surprised if they came back the way they were for years. Speaking as someone whose main desire in life was to live in a big city, the suburbs are looking pretty nice right about now (as, again anecdotally, they are for a good number of our friends in similar positions).

fragmede 6y ago
> I'd be surprised if they came back the way they were for years. Depends on what you're looking for. The police managed to find and shut down an underground club mid-April[0]. I'll bet the police didn't find the only one. I'd be very surprised if it takes more than a year. Thinking back to the airline industry post 9/11, the airlines were strongly motivated to reopen the skies. The situation's different, but as we learn more about COVID-19, we get a better and better picture on what is necessary for it to be safe to reopen. The Hubei restaurant airflow study[1] says it's possible to be in the same room as an infected person and not get sick. We shouldn't rush to reopen, but we can be more proactive than just "hope it goes away", by, eg expanding testing. [0] https://www.sfchronicle.com/crime/article/Police-shut-down-SF-nightclub-operating-during-15195943.php https://www.sfchronicle.com/crime/article/Police-shut-down-S... [1] https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/20/health/airflow-coronavirus-restaurants.html https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/20/health/airflow-coronaviru...